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The Results In Iowa l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

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The crew discusses the results -- so far -- from the Iowa caucuses. They also check in on the race in New Hampshire and the vote to acquit President Trump.


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💬 Comments on the video
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The DNC makes it so hard to be a Democrat. I feel so stupid telling people I support this garbage.

Author — met1117

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Bernie Is now (97%) 3 Delegates away from Pete and ahead by 2k votes in Final Alignment. I also live in Iowa and I hate the Caucus system Bernie obviously got more votes I want Ranked Choice dangit...

Author — Martin Rupert

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Everyone likes saying Democrats are in competent and should not run the country, but everyone also says Bernie is not a democrat. There you go problem solved.

Author — John Carter

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I was UNREASONABLY impatient for this. Even tweeted a "when podcast" question at Galen.

Author — Primarch359

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Aww, no Clare today. Thanks to the crew for hanging in there for day three! You guys have been my go-to podcast to stay in the loop and learn something new. Safe travels, Clare!

Author — Jake Biddlecome

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"And some traditions are dumb!" - Nate Silver
Amen brother!

Author — Christopher Brown

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The right to vote needs to be represented. Criminal justice reform and give former convicts the right back is also a necessary change

Author — Derek Smidl

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It's valid to mention that Bernie didn't convernt more voters on the second realignment and had 26% instead of the 28% that was predicted. However, Iowa is a small state and mostly white. Bernie is strongest in states that are less homogeneous, and more culturally diverse, with the exceptions of NH and Vermont, the question is can he consolidate in those areas, where the numbers will be huge for him if he does. Granted, it would have been nice to see him do it here as well.

Author — DAMEIN O'FERRALL

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What about the inconsistencies, particularly in Blackhawk County? I heard Deval Patrick was a real force of nature there.

Author — Andrew Newton

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yo i wonder what brand of laptop they're all using?

Author — Matt

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'Sanders is going to have to pivot at some point' Where have I heard that before?

Author — Ian Furnell

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Please put subtitle on your podcasts. Thanks :)

Author — Raszkolnyikov Rogyion Romanovics

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Yo, y'alls Bloomborg little face emoji on the grey background looks pretty creepy. On your website.

Author — lorin crandall

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In an Emily Littel senior stoner moment I thought they were talking about STDs not SDEs.
Turns out they’re not that different.

Author — Ann O'Halloran

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How much did each candidate spend in Iowa? How much per vote and per SDE?

Author — lorin crandall

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Nate Cohn was saying on Twitter earlier today that he lacked confidence in the results being out there at the moment, especially given the issues the Iowa Democrats seem to be having with conflicting reports from precinct captains, apparent slowness to verify, etc. so my whole take on this remains the same: too early, and too close, to call.

UPDATE: With 97% reporting, Sanders is only 3 SDEs behind and 2, 500 total votes ahead of Buttigieg! I told y’all it was too close to call!

Author — Lalli Vasich

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I see one set of partisan commentators ( for the democrats) complaining about another set of partisan (for the same party, ) showing their partisanship, openly. Nu?

Author — Donald Smith

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Can you guys explain why your math is so off? you had Biden winning 26% of the vote in 80% of your simulations (I took a screenshot in case you took it down). You also projected that Biden was going to get 12 delegates- he might get zero! Nobody expects pollsters and pundits to read the future but this is some other level of inaccuracy and bias.

Author — Abcflc

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Romney;s a democrat and he'll lose his next election.

Author — John Davis

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The reason Buttigieg picked up more second choice voters is that there were two progressives who together picked up the same amount as Buttigieg. Furthermore, these were second choice voters of Biden and Klobuchar, who are closer to Buttigieg ideologically.

Author — Nick D